Terry Clover is Professor of Public Policy at George Mason University. He and his partner, an economist, said there had never been a case where the pipeline was closed by the state government, so they had to analyze something similar.

“We decided to see what happens to fuel prices when refineries shut down because of a disaster like a hurricane,” Clover said.

They based their predictions on what happened during Hurricane Katrina forced to close the refinery.

If Line 5 stops, “we predict that fuel restrictions on fuel supplies will increase from 9.47 percent to 11.66 percent,” he said. “In the states of Ohio and [southeast] Michigan, which stands on top of any other market growth. “

At today’s prices over 40 cents a gallon for gasoline.

Environmentalists believe that the report made some incorrect assumptions.

Sean McBritty from The action of pure water. He said the two refineries would not shut down if line 5 stopped. All the refineries in Toledo and the Detroit Marathon receive oil not only from line 5.

“In fact, they get their oil from several different sources. They get a small percentage of their oil from line 5, and they will not be affected by the closure of line 5, ”he said.

In a study for a previous story I asked the Marathon how much it depends on line 5. The company said this is not the information it discloses. This is property.

Clover also said other refineries can’t make up the difference because they tend to operate at almost full slope. And he said there is another problem.

“There seems to be no existing pipeline capacity to adapt to the use of other refineries to replace lost production with Toledo refineries.”

McBrearty of Clean Water Action is also nagging at this.

“This does not take into account the existing pipeline capacity when line 6B spilled into Kalamazoo and it was rebuilt as a new seventy-eight line. They have actually doubled the capacity of the pipeline. “

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